Midterms 2022: this way the Democrats can also win the House of Representatives Midterms 2022: This way the Democrats can also win the House of Representatives

“I am incredibly happy,” US President Joe Biden told media on Sunday. The reason for his joy is the results of the Midterms, which determine the balance of power in Parliament for the next two years. Since the 1990s, it has been common for the US president’s party to be a minority in the House of Representatives. Only George W. Bush could rule in 2002 with a majority in both the House and Senate. Now such a comfortable situation could arise for Biden.

In the Senate, the Republicans could still get the seat in Georgia and thus overtake the 50 seats of the Democrats, with Kamala Harris as the tiebreaker, the Democrats would actually still have a majority. So there’s nothing left to gain for the Republicans here. For a majority in the House of Representatives, on the other hand, things look good. A democratic sensation is still possible. This is the current status of the results:

Counted so far

Republicans have won 17 Democrat seats in the House so far. Conversely, Biden’s party managed to win only five seats previously held by Republican hands. Republicans lead by 12 seat gains. 218 seats are needed for a majority. So if the Republicans still win 6 of the 19 open races, they will have a majority in the House starting next year.

>>> To the live ticker of the Midterms 2022

That’s what the predictions say

FiveThirtyEight predictions point to a Republican victory in 10 of the remaining 19 counties. However, those projections had also predicted a bigger Republican victory. The Guardian is much more conservative in its prediction: only five of the open races are likely to go more or less clearly to the Republicans, in seven the outcome is still open.

Specifically, according to CNN, Republicans are also ahead in ten of the races. So the Democrats must manifest all their expected gains and also shoot five of these racesto maintain a majority in the Chamber:

Here’s what it looks like in the individual states:

Open races

Alaska

In the northernmost state, one district is still open: At-Large. Here, former incumbent and Democrat Mary Peltola is clearly leading ahead of the Republican challengers, former Governor Sarah Palin and entrepreneur Nick Begich. However, if Peltola does not make it to 50 percent, the second, third and fourth votes will be counted. Then it can get tight again.

Arizona

There are still two seats up for grabs in Arizona – in Districts 1 and 6. In both, Republicans have a very narrow lead over Democrats. In the predictions, both districts were clearly assigned to the Republicans.

Colorado

There are also two more seats to be won in this condition. In District 8, Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer has already admitted her defeat to Democrat Yadira Caraveo, although many US media outlets are still not convinced she is actually losing.

California

In the most populous state of California, the 10-seat races are still open. Both sides lead fairly clear each in three arrondissements. With the remaining four, the race is extremely close. Everything is still open here.

Maine

In Maine, Democratic nominee and incumbent Jared Golden is ahead of Republican challenger Bruce Poliquin. Also in the predictions, this neighborhood was previously attributed to the Democrats. If none of the candidates makes it to 50 percent, the two votes are counted.

New Mexico

The race is extremely close here. Democratic challenger Gabe Vasquez leads Republican incumbent Yvette Herrell by just over 1,000 votes. Some American media already count this state among the Democrats.

New York

Republican Brandon Williams leads New York’s 22nd district ahead of Democrat Francis Control. Nearly all votes have been counted, with Republicans leading by nearly 4,000 votes. The predictions also point to a Republican victory.

Oregon

Oregon’s 6th district pits Democrat Anfrea Salinas and Republican Mike Erickson against each other. Salinas has a lead of just over 4,000 votes, but only 80 percent of the votes have been counted.

Conclusion

If the Democrats really manage to turn much of these races around, that would be a sensation. The Democrats could always improve here, especially towards the end of the election, but the Republicans have to… but only six of the 19 remaining seats win.

However, according to the Guardian, five of the rest are already more or less clearly going to Republicans. Means: These should be added just win one of the tight racesobtain a majority in the House. The Democrats, on the other hand, must win every exciting race to maintain a majority. (lion)