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Innocent people usually die in wars. Hundreds of civilians were killed this weekend in Hamas’ attack on Israel. Israel responded to the terrorist attack with airstrikes on the Gaza Strip, which also killed hundreds of people. It is clear that the recently erupting conflict in the Middle East will have consequences in the region. But what about the global security situation? Blick outlines six possible global consequences of the Hamas attack.
1
Failure of the Middle East Peace Process
At the center of the Middle East crisis that has been going on for decades are the relations between Israel and its predominantly Jewish population, on the one hand, and its neighbors – countries with a majority Muslim population. In recent years, several Muslim countries have begun to make their policies more friendly toward Israel.
As part of the Abraham Accords in 2020, the United Arab Emirates established normalized bilateral relations with Israel. At the same time, Bahrain signed a peace treaty with the Israelis. Sudan and Morocco also relaxed their strict views on Israel. There were historic, official visits.
Saudi Arabia was seen as the next Muslim-dominated state to take a step toward Israel. Now Hamas sabotaged the normalization of relations with its attack. It is not the first time that Palestinian militants have added fuel to the fire.
As early as 2000, Hamas disrupted the Israeli-Palestinian peace plan after the Camp David summit, when terrorist attacks during the second Intifada dashed any hopes for normalization and led to the deaths of countless civilians.
Israel, Saudi Arabia and the US recently moved closer to a tripartite agreement that would make Israel and Saudi Arabia part of a security, defense and economic partnership. Just ten days ago, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman, 38, said an agreement was “getting closer every day,” while Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, 73, said he was confident of a “historic peace” between his country and Saudi Arabia. Arabia. -To create Arabia.
Now the peace plan could fall apart. Riyadh in a statement on Sunday blamed Israel for the escalation of the conflict.
2
Rise of extremism
Hamas’s attack on Israel shocked the West; countries such as Germany, Italy and France expressed their full support for Israel. At the same time, larger pro-Palestinian protests flared up in London, Sydney, New York and Berlin, some of which escalated. In Italy, the Interior Ministry announced that it had ordered security measures to be tightened across the country, “Corriere della Sera” reported. This comes after the Anti-Defamation League (ADL) said it had seen an increase in calls for violence against Jews and Israelis following the Hamas terror. The West may need to be wary of an increase in extremism and new terrorist attacks by Islamists and the ultra-right.
3
Influence on American and European elections
The US government is Israel’s most important ally – and is already fighting the conflict at home. Leading Republicans accused the Democratic administration of US President Joe Biden (80) and each other of blaming the violence. Biden’s Secretary of State Anthony Blinken (61) accused Republican leaders of exploiting the crisis for their own political purposes.
The conflict between Israel and Hamas is also eagerly discussed in the European Parliament. The anti-Putin front is already starting to crumble when it comes to aid to Ukraine. Can Europe handle a new, longer conflict? The European elections, like the American presidential elections, will take place next year.
4
The position of the US as “world policeman” is being weakened
Events in the Middle East have always had far-reaching geopolitical consequences and often had a domino effect. Some may already be visible.
Lebanon-based Hezbollah has already attacked Israeli military positions in the Golan Heights, saying it was acting “in solidarity” with the Palestinian people. At the same time, a deadly attack on Israeli civilians took place in neighboring Egypt. An Egyptian police officer shot dead tourists.
The fighting in Israel also serves as a painful reminder to the world that the United States is no longer the guarantor of global security. The days of being a ‘world policeman’ are over.
The withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan was seen by Hamas and other powers as a sign of weakness. The terrorist organization could apparently count on support from Iran in the preparation of the attack. Russia and China are also closely monitoring the situation. Where the West and the US fail, they are the first to strengthen their position.
5
The West’s focus on Ukraine is decreasing
Russian President Vladimir Putin (71) may have clapped his hands happily at the news of the Hamas attack in Israel. Anything that distracts the West from the war of aggression or deters Ukraine’s allies from supporting the invaded country is good for Putin.
Israel is also an ally of the West that should not be abandoned. In recent days, much of the world’s attention has been focused on the Middle East. Ultimately, Ukraine could be the victim.
6
Impact on the global economy
Major armed conflicts always have an impact on the stock markets. Oil prices rose while stock markets and the Israeli currency fell earlier this week as investors reacted to renewed escalation between the Palestinians and Israel. A tense situation in the Middle East makes investors tense. The Israeli government’s warning of a long and difficult war is unlikely to improve stock market sentiment. There are concerns that the conflict could spread to other regions and that ongoing tensions in the Middle East could damage the fragile global economic recovery.
Source: Blick
I am Amelia James, a passionate journalist with a deep-rooted interest in current affairs. I have more than five years of experience in the media industry, working both as an author and editor for 24 Instant News. My main focus lies in international news, particularly regional conflicts and political issues around the world.
