The West’s Fear of Putin’s Defeat “Excuse me, what happened?” Curious emergency call released after US plane crashes

Ukraine is systematically destroying the resources of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet. Ukrainian drones are attacking airfields and other military targets deep inside Russia. At Bakhmut the Ukrainians surrounded and destroyed a Russian brigade. And in southern Ukraine, Kiev’s forces are widening and deepening the breach they have made in Russia’s scattered defenses.

Things aren’t looking good for the Russians on the battlefield right now. It is much more likely that Moscow will achieve decisive victories on the political stage in the West. Despite admissions to the contrary, the West’s alliance with Kiev is crumbling. According to the wishes of Western politicians – from US President Biden to Chancellor Scholz to Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki – the Ukrainian counter-offensive is progressing far too slowly.

Poland earns well from transit

At the same time, it has hardly escaped the attention of Western intelligence services that the situation of the Russian invasion corps has deteriorated drastically in recent weeks. A breakthrough in southern Ukraine has become possible. This would also likely entail a transition from positional warfare to mobile warfare, in which all Western tanks would finally be able to demonstrate their technical superiority.

But perhaps it is precisely this prospect that most frightens hesitant people like Scholz and Biden: what if Putin can no longer hold his “new Russian provinces” in Ukraine? What if Russia’s strategic defeat became apparent? That could cost the dictator his head. What would come next?

It is probably no coincidence that Poland is now threatening to stop arms deliveries to Ukraine. Apparently Warsaw is angry about Ukrainian grain exports. However, the Polish parliamentary elections are scheduled for October. The country also makes good money from the transit of wheat and war materials. Evil tongues in Kiev claim that Warsaw is not interested in a quick end to the war. Because as long as Russia is busy with Ukraine, it cannot afford to enter into discussions with other states.

Putin doesn’t care about contracts

It is clear that the war greatly weakened the Russian army. Due to a lack of material and soldiers, Russia had to withdraw many troops from its borders with NATO countries. However, if a Ukrainian victory were within reach, the West would have to consider what that would mean for the survival of the Russian Federation. Many politicians prefer a familiar, albeit unpredictable, enemy like Putin to the uncertainty of a Russian defeat.

Critics of Ukraine like to cite “war fatigue” in the West as a reason why Kiev must now be forced to make tangible concessions at the negotiating table. What is forgotten is that Putin will only adhere to any ceasefire or peace treaty as long as it benefits him. The fact that people on Western benches are lamenting ‘war fatigue’ in their own ranks seems downright cynical given the blood toll the Ukrainians have to pay.

The argument that the West is pouring enormous amounts of money into a war of attrition without results does not really hold water either. The fact is that most of the equipment supplied by the US and European countries is old or about to be phased out. The F-16 fighter jets that the Netherlands and Denmark want to sell are also currently being replaced by modern F-35 stealth aircraft.

One thing is clear: if the alliance with Ukraine continues to crumble and military pressure on the Russian invasion corps decreases, the West will soon be presented with a hefty bill. Namely when Russia invades other countries, such as Moldova or Georgia. There will be no peace with Putin. Therefore, Ukraine must be supported until Russia loses its appetite for further conquests.