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Taiwan, Russia, the European Union, the United States, India, Indonesia, Mexico – elections in 2024 could turn the world upside down. While there is little doubt about the outcome in Moscow, where Vladimir Putin, 71, rules unchallenged, the European election results in June and those in the US on November 5 could cause earthquakes.
Anyone who thinks that the October 22 federal elections will have shaped Switzerland’s political landscape for years to come is wrong. The elections in the rest of the world can have a much greater impact on our daily lives. Blick explains what it is about and what consequences Switzerland is threatened with.
Taiwan: Strait of Dangers
On January 13, Taiwan’s 19 million voters will go to the polls to determine the successor to current President Tsai Ing-wen (67), with whom Beijing has refused to speak since 2020. Who’s favorite? Current Vice President Lai Ching-te (64) is running against the candidate of the Kuomintang, the party of the late dictator Chiang Kai-shek (1887-1975), who left the country in 1949 before the communist revolution under Mao Tse . Tung (1893-1976) had fled China.
The question for the whole world is: how long will nationalist China under Xi Jinping (70) continue to accept the democratic challenge on the island of Taiwan to which it lays claim? The most discussed scenario is not a military attack by China on Taiwan, but an encirclement and a naval blockade. If serious tensions arise, they could plunge Asia and the world into a new war.
Impact on Switzerland: mainly of an economic nature.
Russia: Putin has already been re-elected
From March 15 to 17, Russian voters will vote on the new president of the republic. Unless there is a big surprise, this man will once again be called Vladimir Putin. On December 8, the current Russian leader announced at a behind-closed-doors reception for officials that he would run for re-election “because there is no other choice.” A sentence in the form of an election slogan, against the background of the extension of the war in Ukraine, where Volodymyr Zelensky (45) in turn postponed the presidential elections that were also originally planned for March. If Ukrainians do not vote and martial law continues, the Ukrainian president will in turn be accused of leading an authoritarian regime.
Impact on Switzerland: Lifting of sanctions against Moscow is not in sight.
EU: Elections out of anger
The European Parliament elections will take place in the 27 Member States of the European Union from 6 to 9 June. The 720 Members of the European Parliament are elected, who will serve five years in the Strasbourg Parliament. So elections where nothing is at stake because no government is decided?
Not at all. The populist-nationalist wave predicted by the polls could fundamentally change the situation. The election of the EU leadership (Commission, Council and European Central Bank) lies with the heads of state or government of the Member States. However, they must take the election results into account. Majorities are also needed in the EU Parliament for the Commission’s decisions.
Impact on Switzerland: The Bilateral III depends on it.
India: Modi against democracy
India’s 814 million voters will cast their votes in April or May. There is only one question: will current Hindu nationalist Prime Minister Narendra Modi (73) emerge victorious from the duel between his party, the BJP, and the historic Congress party of the Gandhi-Nehru family? India is often called the largest democracy in the world. Will this continue or will it become an increasingly authoritarian regime?
Impact on Switzerland: low direct impact.
USA: Trump vs. Biden
This duel has been announced, everyone knows the protagonists and their weapons. Former Republican President Donald Trump (77) has already set out to storm the White House. But will he be able to pose a threat to incumbent President Joe Biden (81), as states like Colorado and Maine believe (at least for now) that responsibility for the attack on Congress on January 6, 2020 disqualifies him as a candidate?
There is no need to describe the possible international consequences of a victory by Trump, who wants to put pressure on the Europeans. There’s also no need to say how troubling a new Biden presidency would be, given the age of the outgoing president. Another Democratic candidate, such as Vice President Kamala Harris (59) or California Governor Gavin Newsom (56), currently seems out of the question.
Impact on Switzerland: The franc, which is considered a safe haven, will come under pressure.
More elections
Next Indonesia (February 14), the largest Muslim country in the world, will also take place in 2024 Mexico elected (June). The drug cartels are becoming increasingly important there, but the country may have its first female president: the former mayor of Mexico City, Claudia Sheinbaum (64), is a candidate. In Venezuela (elections in the second half of the year), controversial President Nicolás Maduro (61) has returned to a strong position after the West’s attempt to marginalize him failed.
But that’s not all: on March 1, the… Iran Parliamentary elections are taking place in which women fighting for their rights are increasingly oppressed, and earlier this year voters in the Senegal go to the polls on February 25 to determine the successor to Macky Sall (62).
Source:Blick
I am Liam Livingstone and I work in a news website. My main job is to write articles for the 24 Instant News. My specialty is covering politics and current affairs, which I’m passionate about. I have worked in this field for more than 5 years now and it’s been an amazing journey. With each passing day, my knowledge increases as well as my experience of the world we live in today.
