People die every day in Ukraine. Bloody fighting had been raging for months, the front lines shifting only slightly. How long will Russia and Ukraine endure this war? Future predictions are difficult.
Yet Marcus Keupp (45), military economist at ETH Zurich, is convinced that Russia’s fate is already sealed. “It is not a question of if Ukraine will beat Russia, but when,” he told Handelszeitung.
Russia is running out of reserves
Russia is endlessly using reserves and firing more ammunition than during World War II, says Keupp. “It is easy to calculate when Russia will run out of material.”
It is a myth that Russia has unlimited weapons. “In October of this year, Ukraine will beat Russia,” the scientist predicts. Because while the West provides military support to Ukraine, Russia must produce weapons itself. And that takes too long.
Pentagon thinks war could go on for years
The Pentagon is less optimistic about the end of the war. “We don’t know the course of the conflict,” Colin Kahl, 52, admitted Tuesday during the congressional hearing. “It could end in six months or maybe two or three years.”
Joe Biden (80) promised Ukraine to support them as long as necessary. But he could only do that if Congress continued to approve the deliveries, Kahl reminded.
He considers this important. Ukraine needs to be upgraded in the long run. “In one, two, three years it will come into play,” Kahl clarifies. He says: “Even if the conflict subsides – and no one can predict if it will – Ukraine will need an army capable of defending the recaptured territory and preventing the Russians from attacking again”.
Ukraine is already certain of victory
Ukrainian major general and chief of the secret service Kyrylo Budanov (37) even thinks that the war will be over even sooner. “The score is 1-1 in the 70th minute,” he says, using a football metaphor. Ukraine and Russia are in an impasse. According to him, the war will be over in three and a half months. And he is convinced that Ukraine will be winning.
In addition to discussions about arms deliveries and military power, the call for peace negotiations is also becoming louder. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz (64), British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (42) and French President Emmanuel Macron (45) would try to urge Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (45) to negotiate with Vladimir Putin (70). At present, however, none of the warring parties seem willing to compromise. Both sides continue to rely on hostilities.
Source: Blick
I am Amelia James, a passionate journalist with a deep-rooted interest in current affairs. I have more than five years of experience in the media industry, working both as an author and editor for 24 Instant News. My main focus lies in international news, particularly regional conflicts and political issues around the world.
