It will be an exciting race for the American presidency. Joe Biden enters the election campaign as an incumbent president with historically poor approval ratings. On the other hand, Donald Trump, who was voted out of office four years ago, seems to continue to gain ground among the American people, despite or because of scandals and legal persecution. But first he must face two challengers from his own party. This is what the initial situation looks like:
The candidates in the American elections
republican
According to current polls, Republicans are in the lead Donald Trump. They duel behind it Ron DeSantis And Nikki Haley. Former New Jersey Republican Governor Chris Christie recently dropped out of the presidential race.
During the last televised debate on January 10, Haley and DeSantis were timid in their criticism of former President Trump, who did not attend the debate. For example, DeSantis said a politician should be a “servant of the people” and not a “ruler of the people.” Haley predicts “four more years of chaos” if Trump is re-elected. However, in his own show on Fox News, Trump did not shy away from throwing dirt. Without him, DeSantis would be “working at a pizzeria,” Trump said in his speech.
But Trump not only has to hold his own against his competition, he is also fighting for the presidency using legal means. In the states of Maine and Colorado, Trump was barred from the primaries due to his ties to the 2021 Capitol storm. The US Supreme Court will hear the case on February 8. However, it is unclear what consequences the ruling may have.
Democrats
Among the Democrats, incumbent and frontrunner Joe Biden has only one opponent: Donald Trump. Biden repeatedly warned of four more years of Trump: “This is the first national election since the January 6 insurrection, when a dagger was plunged into the throat of American democracy,” Biden said in early January in Pennsylvania. He further described Trump as a “loser,” “chief election denier” and accused him of using Nazi language.
Biden is clearly seen by Democrats as the most promising candidate to win the primaries. In 2021, he became the oldest president ever to move to the White House. He will be 81 when he is elected in November. He would be 86 at the end of a possible second term. Biden’s first competitor Dean Phillips argues against a new term for the sitting president for this very reason. The 71-year-old writer Marianne Williamson also wants to run for the Democrats, but both are considered completely hopeless. The candidacies will have a symbolic value at best.
More
The nephew of former US President John F. Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy, initially wanted to run for office as a Democrat, but decided to enter the race as an independent candidate in October 2023. Until now, he has mainly drawn attention to himself through statements about various conspiracy theories.
Jill Stein will be familiar to anyone who followed the 2016 presidential election. At the time, she was a candidate for the Green Party and called for a recount of votes in three key swing states after the election of Donald Trump. Cornel West is a theologian and teaches at Princeton and Harvard universities.
The polls
US presidential election
The data hub FiveThirtyEight collects all surveys taking place in the context of the American elections in November. In the studies that assume a duel between Biden and Trump, things currently seem extremely close. In The Economist’s latest poll, both candidates were tied.
Republican primaries
It looks clearer in the primary election predictions. According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump has a nearly 50 percentage point lead over DeSantis and Haley, who are locked in a duel for second place among Republicans.
Democratic primaries
For the Democrats, the starting position is even clearer: Joe Biden leads with more than 70 percent, Williamson with 6 percent and Philipps with just under 3 percent.
The most important dates
It will be a long election year. The first primary election date is mid-January, the elections themselves will take place on November 5. Here are all the important dates:
TV debates:
Area codes:
The primaries run from January 15 to June 8. The Republican Party will ultimately choose its presidential nominee at the Republican National Convention between July 15 and 18. The Democrats will do the same between August 19 and 22. Here are all the dates:
🔴 = Republican primaries
🔵 = Democratic primaries
The choice:
Soource :Watson
I am Amelia James, a passionate journalist with a deep-rooted interest in current affairs. I have more than five years of experience in the media industry, working both as an author and editor for 24 Instant News. My main focus lies in international news, particularly regional conflicts and political issues around the world.
