The consulting company Zuban Córdoba measured the main candidates and political groups for this year’s elections. Skepticism, anger and shared preferences are the big picture.
The so-called "young voice" is traditionally unattainable both for political parties and for analysts and pollsters. Despite the fact that, due to the "generational transfer" effect, millennials and centenarians make up more than 40% of the voters' list and are the basis of the population pyramid, "young people are perhaps the segment in which politics invests the least", says the report by the consultant Dental Cordoba followed the results of a survey in which he tried to capture the electoral preferences of this part of the population, with a view to the next presidential election.
Zuban Córdoba consulted 1,300 young people between the ages of 16 and 35 across the country, through a structured face-to-face questionnaire, conducted between January 16 and 22 this year.
The consultant got, as a general picture, the data that "59% of those under 35 have negative feelings about the current situation in the country", a statistic that is related to another that came from the same study: "No political figure has more than 35% positive image among young people. None".
This is also shown by the Zuban Cordoba research Frente de Todos follows the first among the perceptions of the segment's political representation"but with a lot less power but four years ago", the paper points out.
The ruling party must not forget that it was the young voice that enabled it to win in the first round of 2019. Today, it is perhaps the segment in which it has lost the most space, he points out.
Together for change, meanwhile, "has never been particularly representative in this sector, but today that incompetence seems to be accentuated thanks to the emergence of Javer Milei. "Many young spaces that might choose JxC prefer Milei's liberalism. The dispute of the opposition voice in this segment can be a prelude to the same big dispute", says Zuban Córdoba.
The meandering, changing and unstable nature of the youth vote is shown, among other things, in the different answers it gives depending on whether it is consulted by parties or coalitions, candidates with first and last names or politics or management tasks.
Thus, the survey showed that young people they perceive FdT as a space that generates the most policies for young peoplewith the support of 37%, in turn it is the front that has the most voting intentions within the segment, with 30.3%.
However, when asked which space shows the most "inability" to listen to young people, FdT is second with 26.1%, behind Zajedno za przenji, which was penalized with 34.9%.
Despite the fact that Javier Milei presents himself as a candidate who would sweep away the youth, his party, although on the rise, was relegated to second place with 22% when asked about the "tendency" to organizations, which shows that the ultra-liberal economist is absorbing all the weight of his group with his figure. , overshadowing her.
That's the proof Javier Milei's rating improves when his youth is put before his figure individually: the economist and congressman is perceived as the most qualified to lower inflation in the country, with 29% support. Behind and close is Sergio Massa, with 25%.
Regarding the intention to vote, "the electoral panorama is still very open in terms of what young people will do. Javier Milei appears as the main favorite within the PASO scenario (24.2%) on an individual level, but in relation to the sum of the candidates from the same of space He is delegated to those of the FdT (with Alberto Fernández, Sergio Massa, Axel Kicillof, Wada de Pedro, Juan Manzura) who surpass the libertarians, added, by 31.8 against 23.3, just like those of Juntos por el Cambio (JxC) which by adding Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, Mauricio Macri, Patricia Bullrich, Marí Eugenio Vidal and Facundo Manes, you get 23.5.
The research did not reveal Cristina Fernandez de Kirchnertaking literally his "withdraws from candidacy" or his subsequent sentence of prohibition.
Among young people, FdT 30.3%, libertarian 23.2%, and Zajedno za change 23% show the intention to vote for a party.
Source: Cronista
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