This is how explosive the situation is currently in the Middle East – expert classifies. Do you like Michael Jordan, BMW and have money to spare? Then this car is your deal

The war between Israel and Hamas has been raging for almost three months. Events have exploded in recent days, with attacks in Lebanon and Iran in addition to the de facto theater of war in the Gaza Strip. Middle East expert Erich Gysling explains what this means for the region.

Lebanon: Assassination of Hamas leader

That happened:
An explosion occurred in Beirut on Tuesday evening. Hamas leader Saleh al-Aruri was reportedly murdered.

We know this:
Several authorities report a drone attack in the Lebanese capital Beirut. Seven people were killed, including Saleh al-Aruri, a leading Hamas member. Thousands attended his funeral service on Thursday.

For Middle East expert Erich Gysling it is clear: “99.9 percent of that is Israel.” Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said Israel was persecuting all Hamas people. Doesn’t matter where.

Possible effects:
“The murder of al-Aruri has no immediate impact,” says Gysling. There is already war.

“But the attack doesn’t help. On the contrary.” Hamas will now only defend itself even more in the Gaza Strip, Gysling says, adding:

For Gysling, the past three months have shown: “Not a single hostage has been released as a result of the fighting. But only through negotiations.” Urgent negotiations are needed again, the expert said.

Iran: Terror at the grave

That happened:
Explosions took place in the Iranian city of Kerman on Wednesday. 84 people are killed and 284 injured.

The two explosions occurred during a memorial ceremony for Iran’s top general Ghassem Soleimani near his grave. Soleimani was assassinated by the US in Iraq four years earlier.

We know this:
Middle East expert Gysling assumed on Thursday afternoon that the attacks were carried out by an internal Iranian opposition group. “For example, the Baloch people have been fighting against the Shia regime for a long time.” Gysling considered such a perpetrator more likely than the Israelis or the Americans.

Why? The attack in Kerman is neither consistent with Israeli tactics nor with Israeli interests. Gysling:

On Thursday evening, the terrorist militia “Islamic State” (“IS”) claimed responsibility for the attack.

Hezbollah leader’s speech

That happened:
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned Israel in a speech about a war against Lebanon.

We know this:
On the fourth anniversary of Soleimani’s assassination, Hezbollah leader Nasrallah made it clear in a speech who had killed al-Aruri: for him it was definitely Israel. Now he is threatening the country with war.

Possible effects:
“Nasrallah said in his speech that although Hezbollah was ready for a war, it did not actually want one,” Gysling explains. Nasrallah knew very well that a war would plunge Lebanon into enormous chaos. Israel, on the other hand, knows this too.

“Accordingly, needle sticks can currently be observed on both sides.” Gysling:

Conclusion

‘The situation is unstable. An escalation can happen at any time,” says Gysling. If the situation escalates further, it will most likely be between Hezbollah and Israel, especially in the area on Israel’s northern border and in southern Lebanon.

For the time being, there is no peace in sight. “Israel doesn’t want to stop, and neither does Hamas.” It looks like the horror will continue for a long time. “And every death increases the hatred of the other side.”