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House prices in Switzerland are higher than they have been in years; Even National Bank President Thomas Jordan is warning of a price drop. Will prices really fall?
Roland Süsstrunk: Investment property prices in the residential sector have already fallen slightly. So far there has been no sign of a major price correction in home ownership. Other price developments are largely dependent on interest rate developments over the next few months. I see no danger of investment property prices in the residential sector falling as demand for living space increases and landlords are able to adjust rents to higher reference interest rates. In addition, the Swiss National Bank signaled a change in monetary policy in December last year. Economists and other capital market participants expect another interest rate cut from mid-2024.
The State Council wants to make it easier to build in noisy areas and change environmental law accordingly. Could such a law change accelerate housing construction?
In the city of Zurich alone, the construction of nearly a thousand apartments is hindered by noise protection regulations. I welcome any appropriate measures to address the housing shortage. However, facilitating construction in noisy areas alone will not be enough to provide the necessary support for housing construction.
There is a gap between supply and demand in rental apartments. Will housing construction meet the great need?
Market mechanisms suggest that rental housing construction should increase significantly. However, leading indicators do not point in this direction. This is because the revised spatial planning law restricts the development of undeveloped land and also slows down densification in many places. Here politicians are asked to come up with better solutions.
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This article was first published on the paid service of handelszeitung.ch. Blick+ users have exclusive access as part of their subscription. You can find more exciting articles at www.handelszeitung.ch.
They also arrange club deals with various investors that provide some form of financing. How popular are such tools and what are their advantages?
Club opportunities have gained popularity in recent years. However, they form a niche product in the real estate industry where several investors jointly finance a real estate project. Hire a professional consultant to implement this. This form of investment allows investors to jointly finance larger projects while minimizing individual risks. Each club deal is specifically tailored to the needs of the investors involved. Investors can often directly influence strategy and decisions based on a detailed business plan.
You also work in housing cooperatives. Are cooperatives easier to build because they benefit from their good reputation in politics and society?
The purpose of a housing cooperative is primarily to provide affordable housing to its members. Cooperatives make an important contribution to the diversification of housing supply and therefore to the social mix of urban areas or communities. Cooperatives, despite their good reputations, cannot build with lower barriers or more cheaply than private developers. Co-ops tend to be a bit more expensive to build because they provide more space for social gatherings and place a strong emphasis on sustainability.
However, cooperatives have advantages when they can take over land or finance construction projects under the construction law. There are various financing instruments specific to cooperatives. Cooperatives provide relatively inexpensive housing, but to a limited extent. They cannot solve the housing shortage problem alone.
For Switzerland to achieve its climate goals, pollutant emissions from real estate need to be reduced. Will this green transformation increase rents and property prices?
Not necessarily. Achievable prices for newly built properties depend on market conditions and lesser costs. For existing properties, only value-added investments can be reflected in the rent. For example, replacing oil or gas heating with renewable energy sources does not add value on its own. Other “green” investments can be rolled into leases, but this generally leads to lower additional costs and tenants benefit from this.
Roland Süsstrunk answered the questions in writing.
Source :Blick
I’m Tim David and I work as an author for 24 Instant News, covering the Market section. With a Bachelor’s Degree in Journalism, my mission is to provide accurate, timely and insightful news coverage that helps our readers stay informed about the latest trends in the market. My writing style is focused on making complex economic topics easy to understand for everyone.
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