Our Oscar predictions in 10 categories plus serious bonus material

Will Win: Okay, let’s take a deep breath and believe in the Wang family “Everything and everywhere at once”, which is catapulted into the craziest multiverse of all time by a very banal tax return. A film like a new shock.

Should also win: “The Fabelmans”Steven Spielberg’s tender, smart, funny essay about his childhood, youth and family and how that led him to film.

Cannot win under any circumstances: “No news from the Western Front”completely unnecessary remake of the legendary 1930 film adaptation of Remarque. That’s what the British liked best about the recent BAFTA awards, but they also liked Brexit every now and then.

Will Win: The Daniels. So Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert for her overwhelming audacity with Everything Everywhere All At Once. The momentum of the highly regarded Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) has faded quite a bit over the last few weeks of this awards season.

Should also win: This may be the last chance Spielberg to award his third Oscar. The grandmaster’s last trophy was 24 years ago (“Saving Private Ryan”). Now, at the age of 76, he has made his most personal and most important film and more than deserves the Academy bow.

Cannot win under any circumstances: Everything ok on that front.

Will Win: Totally impossible to predict this category. Hollywood loves Kate Blanchett, and her portrayal of a toxic conductor in “Tár” is by far the best of her career to date. But Michelle Joehoe (“Everything Everywhere All At Once”) has caught up with a lot and would be a much more original choice.

Should also win: So the other Michelle Michelle Williams as a mother in «De Fabelmans». This is by far her best performance to date.

Cannot win under any circumstances: Sorry, Ana de Armas in «Blonde» this nomination is a mistake.

Will Win: Austin butler. If. elvis In «Elvis». Crazy performance. And Hollywood loves musical films. After all, Hollywood is derived from Bollywood.

Can also win: played Brendan Fraser the beau who does things to mummies, now an overweight gay teacher in The Whale. Hollywood loves that too.

Under no circumstances should you win: Everyone is great here, everyone is good, everyone is likeable, everyone is rightly nominated.

Will Win: All signs are up Angela Basset in “Wakanda Forever”.

Should Win: BUT! What the first time nominated Nepo baby Jamie Lee Curtis (64) in “Everything Everywhere All At Once” is worth more than any of Meryl Streep’s later work.

Cannot win under any circumstances: Kerry Condon from “The Banshees of Inisherin”, not because she’s bad, but because she’s the best thing in the movie and has real potential.

Will Win: There were small crumbs of roles and then none at all of the Vietnam-born Chinese actor Ke Huy Quan after starting his crazy career as a 12-year-old in “Indiana Jones”. He blamed himself – not Hollywood, which has discriminated against Asian actresses and actors for too long. Ke Huy Quan retired behind the cameras, worked for Wong Kar Wai for a long time until the desire to play again became overwhelming. He was 48 at the time. And went to audition for the Daniels. And was cast as Michelle Yeoh’s husband in Everything Everywhere All At Once. A miracle for him. The only right thing for us.

Should also win: Barry Keoghanthe young Irishman who spent his childhood in children’s homes, got the best part in Nolan’s “Dunkirk” and now melts hearts as a village madman in “The Banshees of Inisherin”.

Cannot win under any circumstances: Just no one else.

Will Win: The Daniels shouldn’t make it in this category, there’s too much unwritten, improvised material. Everything is open in between Spielberg/Kushner (“The Fablemans”), Todd Field (“Tar”), Ruben Ostlund (“Triangle of Sadness”) and Martin MacDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”).

Should Win: Everything open.

Cannot win under any circumstances: does not matter.

Will Win: No idea. Why not Top Gun: Maverick? A film about completely optimistic, positive people who are not traumatized at all, even though their job is to destroy others. The film, which Steven Spielberg says single-handedly saved the very existence of cinemas, must be winning something. But it’s probably going to be “Women Talking” (women talk about abuse in a religious community). Sarah Poley.

Should Win: Something. why not “Top Gun: Maverick”?

Shouldn’t win under any circumstances: «All Quiet On The Western Front».

Will Win: Since Ruben Östlund’s “Triangle of Sadness” is nominated for Best Picture, where it doesn’t stand a chance, this Oscar goes to “No news from the Western Front”.

Should Win: Something else.

Shouldn’t win under any circumstances: «All Quiet On The Western Front».

Will Win: For a long time it seemed that Laura Poitras, who won the Oscar in 2015 for her Edward Snowden documentary “Citizenfour”, could win again this year against photographer Nan Goldin with “All The Beauty And The Bloodshed”. But Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris, with their oppressive «Navalny» overtaken, especially by Putin’s ongoing war against Ukraine.

Should win: «Navalny».

Cannot win under any circumstances: No slips, so it doesn’t matter.

watson will also accompany these Oscars live on the night of March 12 to 13. From 1:30 am