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We live in turbulent times: first the corona pandemic, then the war in Ukraine, uncertain financial markets and above all the climate crisis. This also has repercussions on the security thinking of the Swiss.

The “Security” series of studies has existed in Switzerland since 1999. Today, the Swiss Army is publishing the 2023 edition together with the Military Academy (MILAK) and the Center for Security Studies (CSS) at ETH Zurich. The opinion of the Swiss about security, accession to NATO, the need for the army and future prospects has changed in recent months (database: see infobox).

How are we personally?

The personal sense of security of the Swiss has hardly changed compared to January 2022. The general sense of security has been very high for years, and neither the pandemic nor the war in Ukraine can change that:

“In general, how safe do you feel today?”

That’s how it is in Switzerland

We are less optimistic about Switzerland’s future. Compared to last year, the share of optimistic answers dropped significantly by five percentage points to 81 percent. However, this is slightly more than in the interim study in June 2022:

“How do you see the near future – over the next five years – for Switzerland?”

And so we see the state of the world

Those surveyed see the situation in the world as significantly less rosy than personal security or that of Switzerland. Only 24 percent are positive about it. That is even seven percentage points less than in January 2022.

In this context, the question of the world situation has been asked since 2015. The value has never been as low as it is now:

“How do you see the development of the political situation in the world in the next five years?”

But what are the main reasons or main threats? The question was openly asked by the study leaders. 65 different threats were mentioned, three of them by far the most common:

  1. Wars and conflicts: 41.8%
  2. Destruction of nature: 33.8%
  3. Financial and economic crises: 31.3%
  4. Energy crisis: 14.5%
  5. Migration: 11.3%

When it came to wars and conflicts, the war in Ukraine was mentioned most often. The fear of using nuclear weapons was also often mentioned. When it comes to the destruction of nature, climate change with its direct and indirect consequences is the main concern, and when it comes to financial and economic wars, inflation is currently the main concern.

Notable in the top 5: With the exception of the destruction of nature, four themes are directly related to the war in Ukraine.

Switzerland under criticism

Switzerland and NATO

Opinions have also changed over the past year on how Switzerland should participate internationally. About 83 percent are still against joining the EU. However, the share of those who would join the EU without reservation rose from 13 to 18 percent within two years. The number of votes that Switzerland should be more active in the UN and make peacekeeping troops available has also increased slightly.

An important topic lately has been NATO. Here, a maximum value is reached at 55 percent in the “approximate” area (the question was not asked in January 2022). That Switzerland should join NATO is also higher than ever at almost a third. Since 2019, this share has increased by no less than 13 percentage points:

“Which of the following statements would you agree with?”

In connection with NATO, of course, there is also their own army. Fewer and fewer residents here feel that we are on the safe side if we go it alone. About a third still think this is the right way to go. In 2016 that was still half, since then the approval has been falling every year:

“Which of the following statements would you agree with?”

Switzerland and its neutrality

An important (discussion) topic in recent weeks has been Switzerland’s neutrality. Overall, this is important to more than 90 percent of Swiss people – although approval has lost six percentage points within a year.

Militarily, Switzerland should remain neutral – 57 percent think that’s the right attitude. Still a minority. However, the attitude that Switzerland should take a clear stance in military conflicts abroad has clearly increased.

“Which of the following statements would you agree with?”

However, the past few weeks and months have shown that a rethink is likely underway, despite a largely high degree of agreement with neutrality. Just over half believe that military neutrality can no longer be credibly protected. That is 11 percentage points more than in January 2021.

An even bigger nosedive was the statement that neutrality keeps us from getting involved in international conflicts. Only 55 percent are of this opinion:

“Which of the following statements would you agree with?”

Data source
Between January 3 and 20, 2023, the data of the “Security 2023” survey was collected by the research institute LINK Marketing Services AG and a total of 1238 voters from Switzerland’s three major language regions were interviewed by telephone.

The random quota method (gender, age, language region) was used for the research. Since the quotas for gender, age and language region specified by the Federal Statistical Office (BfS) were met in the course of the study, the sample is unweighted and representative of the Swiss voting population.

Switzerland under criticism

Reto Fehr

Soource :Watson

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Amelia

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