The images are burned into the collective memory of the United States: on January 6, 2021, a mob incited by then-President Donald Trump stormed the Capitol in Washington to prevent the confirmation of Joe Biden’s election victory. Five people lost their lives. Several MPs and Senators narrowly escaped.
Trump’s behavior would now have criminal consequences. This has been decided by the special committee that the House of Representatives set up in its last public meeting on Monday. He called on Attorney General Merrick Garland to indict the ex-president on four counts, including incitement to insurrection and conspiracy against the government.
The committee will publish its final report in the coming days. After that, it inevitably dissolves, because as of January, Trump’s Republicans have an albeit narrow majority in the House of Representatives. The ball is therefore in the hands of the Attorney General, who is also the Attorney General and therefore the highest prosecutor in the United States.
The evidence the committee has gathered is overwhelming. Weighty witnesses have testified against Trump, including his former Attorney General William Barr. A real coup was the public appearance of Cassidy Hutchinson, who, as assistant to Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, had witnessed the “Day of Shame” in the center of power.
But what to expect? Should Donald Trump really go to jail?
Merrick Garland is not to be envied. Democrats are exerting enormous pressure on the Secretary of State to proceed with Trump’s impeachment. With the appointment of special prosecutor Jack Smith, he withdraws from the affair for the time being. The former prosecutor is seen as a tough guy. He would have already conducted the first interrogations.
Even if there is an indictment, the road to a conviction is long. That’s because there is no precedent for Trump’s behavior. The ex-president will mobilize top class lawyers. They will likely argue that Trump brandished inflammatory speeches while protected by the right to free speech.
According to CNN, legal experts assume that it will be difficult for the prosecution to prove that Trump actually orchestrated a coup. The criminal trial is also likely to drag on for years, and Trump is already 76. It is by no means certain that he will ever be convicted, let alone go to prison.
To make matters worse, Garland and Smith don’t have an infinite amount of time. Presidential elections are less than two years away. If a Republican wins, be it Trump or whoever, the process could go up in smoke. For this reason, too, Jack Smith naturally wants to continue his research at a rapid pace.
Another question is how the impending trial will affect Donald Trump’s political future. The November midterm elections disappointed Republicans. Trump is seen as the “main culprit”. Several candidates he supported failed, leaving Democrats to defend control of the Senate.
Trump then took a leap forward by announcing his candidacy for the 2024 election. However, the echo was manageable. Even among his devoted supporters, who make up as much as 40 percent of the Republican base, support appears to be crumbling. In the latest polls, he is trailing Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
It would be wrong and dangerous to hastily write off Donald Trump. But more and more Republican politicians believe that its appeal is irrevocably waning. “He’s clearly on a path to irrelevance and sinking deeper every day,” former Florida Congressman Carlos Curbelo told the New York Times.
Further proceedings against him could contribute to this. It involves a civil lawsuit in New York against his corporate empire, including for tax crimes, an investigation in the state of Georgia for inciting voter fraud, and a possible criminal suit over the classified documents he stole from the White House.
The House of Representatives committee, which oversees the administration’s tax and fiscal policies, will decide Tuesday whether to release Trump’s tax returns. He had fought it tooth and nail for years. However, the Supreme Court recently gave the green light.
Soource :Watson
I am Amelia James, a passionate journalist with a deep-rooted interest in current affairs. I have more than five years of experience in the media industry, working both as an author and editor for 24 Instant News. My main focus lies in international news, particularly regional conflicts and political issues around the world.
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