Biden is clearly overtaking Trump in surveys – these are the reasons why Biden is clearly overtaking Trump in surveys – these are the reasons

He’s back. At least a little. In March, President Joe Biden made up lost ground in the polls and narrowed the gap with his Republican rival Donald Trump. According to the British magazine ‘The Economist’, Trump and Biden are currently neck and neck in all surveys on average.

Some national surveys now see the Democrat ahead in the race for the White House. Quinnipiac University pollsters published a survey this week in which Biden received 48 percent of the vote in a direct match against Trump.

But it is still too early to speak of a trend reversal. Approval ratings for the Biden administration are still historically low. Many people believe that the president, who will celebrate his 82nd birthday in November, is too old for office. Trump also gets better marks from voters for many of his ideas, for example in the field of immigration policy.

And perhaps even more importantly, Trump is still ahead in the seven or eight politically contentious states that will ultimately decide the presidential election in November. However, current polls from Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin show Biden gaining ground, especially in the Midwest. On the other hand, the Republican appears to have a solid lead in Georgia and North Carolina.

Trump mobilizes Democratic voters

Responsible for the positive Biden trend nearly seven months before Election Day is likely continued good economic policy news. More and more Americans seem to be realizing that things aren’t actually that bad for them — even though many are still wrongly convinced that the world’s largest economy is in recession.

Biden also benefits from the excesses of his competitor. Many voters seem to have forgotten how upset they were every day about the occupant of the White House during Donald Trump’s presidency, from 2017 to 2021. Trump now reminds them of that again when he makes controversial statements during campaign appearances.

The White House is also pleased that Democrats have no problem mobilizing their core voters. Most recently, on Tuesday, a Biden Party candidate in Alabama retook a politically contested district from Republicans during midterm elections. The Democrat focused her campaign entirely on the issues of artificial insemination and abortion – after politicians and judges in the conservative southern state issued restrictive rules, angering many women and men.

Moreover, Biden is literally swimming in money. On Thursday, he appeared with his predecessors Barack Obama (2009 to 2017) and Bill Clinton (1993 to 2001) at a fundraising gala in New York City, which reportedly raised more than $26 million in his campaign coffers.

Is RFK Junior stealing voters from the president?

The Biden team will set aside some of these funds to combat potential spoilsports. Above all, the presidential candidacy of the independent Robert F. Kennedy Junior. The scion of a dynasty of Democratic politicians seems to frighten many of the president’s party members.

This also has to do with the fact that the approval ratings for the 70-year-old Kennedy are sensationally high among young voters. According to a survey by the organization Split Ticket, 23 percent of people under the age of 29 would vote for Kennedy. Biden therefore only gets 35 percent in this voter segment.

But Biden depends on these voters if he wants to win. So the president will smear the unwanted competitor and Kennedy Jr. describe as Trump’s stooge. “We will ensure voters are well informed,” a Democratic spokesman said recently.

The Quinnipiac poll initially cited shows that when pollsters mention Kennedy’s name, Biden loses a lot of approval. Trump would receive 39 percent and Biden 38 percent of the votes. The killjoy would have 13 percent. (aargauerzeitung.ch)