Three times there is a clear yes

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The first SRG trend survey on the June 18 votes should create a comfortable atmosphere among supporters of the climate protection law. The indirect counter-proposal to the glacier initiative has met with only mild opposition from voters.

Only one in four is determined or rather against the template. This is evident from the results of the first survey conducted by GFS Bern on behalf of SRG. On the other hand, 72 percent of those polled would have approved the climate protection law if it had been voted on at all. The share of those who have not yet made a decision is a paltry 4 percent.

SVP steps out of line

Approval is clear among the major parties, with 97 percent yes among the Greens and at least 70 percent approval among the FDP base.

Only the SVP rejects the law: 63 percent give the bill with the neck. Every third SVPler can warm up to a yes. This Yes percentage in the SVP is quite high, if you consider that the right-wing party held the referendum. Perhaps the influence of SVP Energy Minister Albert Rösti (55), who is fighting for a yes on behalf of the Federal Council, is making itself felt here.

The argument that the proposal creates the right incentives and supports the population in switching to more climate-friendly heating systems is particularly well received by its proponents. Likewise, it is necessary to move away from fossil fuels for a sustainable energy supply. Opponents, on the other hand, fear that the new law will exacerbate the energy crisis and electricity shortages.

Opponents have no trick with the Covid 19 law

The yes with 68 percent is also clear for the Covid 19 law, which will be extended with some adjustments until mid-2024. SP Minister of Health Alain Berset (51) is likely to book his third Corona victory. The other side has no trick: only 28 percent are against it. 4 percent have not yet formed an opinion.

A similar pattern emerges as with climate voting. The big parties say yes with clear majorities – from 77 percent for the FDP to 89 percent for the SP. Only the SVP base does not want and rejects the law with 60 percent no to 37 percent yes.

Trust in government has a strong influence on voting decisions. 82 percent of those who trust the Federal Council agree with the bill. Of the suspects, 53 percent say no.

For the proponents, the argument that the Covid law has proven itself as a supplement to the Epidemics law and could be useful again in an emergency weighs heavily. The opponents, on the other hand, believe that the epidemic law is sufficient.

OECD minimum tax on the right track

The Federal Council and Parliament can hope for a landslide victory on the OECD minimum tax. 84 percent want to accept the template at this point. Only 12 percent are against and 4 percent are unsure. The SP is practically the only one against the proposal, which wants to bottom out the “Lex Zug” and adjust the distribution key for the extra income between the federal government and the cantons.

However, the SP rows are not closed. Several cantonal parties like the Yes slogan. Even the SP base is not yet convinced by the party leaders’ arguments: Four out of five SP supporters want to vote yes. Only 16 percent follow the SP leadership and say no. The No camp is only bigger at 20 percent in the SVP base.

Between April 25 and May 7, GFS Bern polled 11,536 voters for the SRG survey. The statistical error range is +/-2.8 percentage points.

Source:Blick