Research after the elections shows that the Greens lost and the SVP won

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With 28.6 percent of the votes, the SVP is the big winner on election Sunday. Compared to four years ago, it increased by no less than three percent. Now it is clear where the votes came from.

According to the post-election survey by the Sotomo research institute on behalf of the SRG, 0.6 percentage points of the increase came from non-voters. This means: The SVP has been able to get a number of its core voters, who had stayed at home last time, back to the polls.

Leftists gave one percent to the SVP

The SVP managed to take even more percentage points, namely 0.7, from the center. And another 0.3 percentage points from the FDP. What is much more surprising, however, is that even people who voted left four years ago have entered an SVP list this time: GLP, SP and Groen voters also migrated to the SVP. Of the two left-wing parties, 0.5 percentage points each went to the SVP.

And this was very deliberate: according to the research, the political orientation of a party was the most important criterion for deciding which party to vote for. 61 percent of respondents indicated this motive. Solution competence – i.e. which party is trusted to solve important questions – was only crucial for 21 percent of respondents.

Green voters switched to the SP

Moreover, it was mainly the issue of immigration that made voters choose the SVP list, before the issues of changing health insurance companies and crime. Hamas’s terrorist attack on Israel almost three weeks ago had little impact on the election outcome.

The election research also makes it clear to whom the Greens, who with 9.4 percent received 3.8 percent fewer votes than in 2019, lost: more than half of their losses fell to the SP (2 percentage points), losing 0.6 percentage points them because their supporters no longer took part in the elections. Votes were also lost for the GLP and Mitte.

Mitte will get a second seat in the Federal Council

There was also talk on election Sunday that the center had overtaken the FDP by a small margin and was now the third strongest party. Should this have consequences for the composition of the Federal Council?

“Immediately!” 33 percent of respondents think so. They want the FDP to lose its second seat in the Federal Council in December. Another 27 percent believe that the FDP’s over-representation should end at the next vacancy, i.e. when Foreign Minister Ignazio Cassis (62) or Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter (59) resign. 18 percent think we still have to wait for the next elections.

It is also clear who the seat should go to: 36 percent of respondents want the middle person to get the seat. In doing so, they support the magic formula: it says that the three strongest parties each get two seats in the state government, and the number four gets one seat.

For the post-election survey, Sotomo surveyed 23,207 eligible voters from all parts of the country on Election Sunday. (sf)

Source:Blick