There is a threat of being voted out on Sunday: these parliamentarians must be trembling

Green wave ebbs away

Four years ago, an eco wave brought many new green and green-liberal politicians to Bern, but this time the two successful parties have to give up. The SRG’s latest election barometer predicts a loss of 3.5 percentage points for the Greens and a loss of one percent for the GLP.

This puts several seats at risk for the Greens. Many newcomers who were elected four years ago are in an ejection seat. In Solothurn, councilor Felix Wettstein (65, SO) must fear for his re-election.

Also in Bern, the Greens will probably have to give up one of the two seats they won four years ago: it could be tight for Christine Badertscher (41) or Natalie Imboden (53), who replaced Regula Rytz (61) last year . year.

A green seat is also wobbling in Zurich after the major election success of 2019: this could affect Meret Schneider (31) or Katharina Prelicz-Huber (64). The latter was voted out once in 2011 – and made a comeback four years ago.

The Greens are currently weakening, especially in western Switzerland. Neuchâtel state councilor Céline Vara (39) has to worry about her seat, as do national councilors Valentine Python (48, VD) and Isabelle Pasquier (50, GE).

Individual candidates at the GLP

The GLP was given nine mandates four years ago, some of which are still in doubt. Katja Christ (51) from Basel should be worried. The city canton now only has four mandates, but all five previous mandates are running again. At least one deselection is programmed. In Bern, the GLP has to fight for the third seat, which could mean the downfall of Melanie Mettler (45).

The party could also lose a seat in Zurich. In addition, Chantal Galladé (50, former SP state councilor and current GLP cantonal councilor) could harass former incumbents. Barbara Schaffner (55) or Judith Bellaiche (52) must be shaking.

In western Switzerland, the Green Liberals are also facing setbacks after their victory four years ago, with the seats of Céline Weber (49, VD) and Michel Matter (58, GE) at risk.

Internal competition in the SP

The special Basel constellation could also have consequences for the SP. This is where Sarah Wyss (35) must be shaking the most.

In other cantons, current incumbents within the party are being harassed. In Valais, this could cost Emmanuel Amoos (43) the mandate, who replaced Mathias Reynard (36), who was elected to the State Council two years ago. Amoos could be dangerous for Sarah Constantin (32), the party leader of the SP Lower Valais in the cantonal parliament.

Jura state councilor Mathilde Crevoisier Crelier (43) must also dress warmly. She inherited the seat from current federal councilor Elisabeth Baume-Schneider (59), but is now threatened by internal competition.

Stability in the center and FDP

In the middle, the signs point to stability. The bottom line is that she pretty much has to hold on to her seat. Still, individual politicians have to worry about their re-election. In the Jura, the seat of the Council of States of Charles Juillard (60) is under attack by an FDP-SVP alliance. In Lucerne, the center could lose a seat to the SVP, which could mean the downfall of Priska Wismer-Felder (53).

Competition within the party can also cost one or the other his or her office. A shaky candidate in Bern is again Heinz Siegenthaler (68), who – at the time still with the BDP – missed re-election twice, but always slipped back. Bern city councilor Reto Nause (52) could be dangerous for him.

The FDP will probably retain its seats or even win slightly – partly thanks to more list connections with the SVP. There is hardly any fear of being voted out. Only in Vaud is the FDP a little nervous about losing a seat, although this will probably affect Daniel Ruch (60).

SVP members hardly have to worry

The SRG election barometer considers the SVP as the big election winner. The increase in the number of voters will probably also be reflected in seat gains. Everyone who stands as a candidate therefore has a good chance of being re-elected.

However, one or two of those on the list could be overtaken by a party member: in St. Gall, such a scenario could affect Michael Götte (44), who only replaced Esther Friedli (46), who was elected to the Council of States , six months ago when she moved to the Council of States.

EVP seat wobbles menacingly

Election Sunday could be bitter for the small party EPP. In Aargau, EPP national councilor Lilian Studer (45) is threatened with the same fate as her father Heiner Studer (74), who missed re-election as national councilor in 2007. Only with proportional luck will the small party retain its seat. If not, Studer will be expelled from parliament.