The latest election barometer is a shock for the eco-parties: the Greens lose 3.5 percent!

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The closer election Sunday approaches, the worse things are likely to become for Balthasar Glättli (51), leader of the Green Party: after reaching a historic high in 2019 with a voter share of 13.2 percent, his party is likely to seriously crash on October 22. According to the latest SRG election barometer before the vote, the Eco Party is at only 9.7 percent, 3.5 percentage points weaker than in the last elections! A year ago, the Greens got 11.7 percent in the election survey. This means that the party has lost two percentage points within twelve months.

The Green Liberals have also taken a losing path. While the GLP gained 7.8 percent in the last election, as of today they have lost one percentage point. That may not seem like much, but in the meantime the GLP had risen to 9.8 percent in studies. This hype is apparently over.

Hello Federal Council!

This means that the two eco-parties will probably have to bury their ambitions from the Federal Council. Just this weekend, Green Party leader Aline Trede (40) emphasized that the Greens will definitively put themselves forward in December – unless the party receives less than ten percent of the votes. That’s exactly what it looks like now. However, the election barometer from the Sotomo research institute shows a margin of error of plus/minus 1.2 percent. That means the Greens could also get 10.9 percent – ​​or just 8.6. Either way, things are going downhill.

Despite the green departure, the shift to the right that citizens desire will be smaller than expected. The SVP can make even more gains and now has 28.1 percent (2.5 percentage points more than in 2019). But at the same time the FDP loses a percentage point, which weakens the growth of the bourgeois camp. Moreover, the votes of the conservative Greens mainly go to the SP, which won no less than 1.5 percentage points compared to the 2019 elections.

Fourth place instead of second

The latter means that it is not only Green Party leader Glättli who is likely to be in a bad mood. But also FDP president Thierry Burkart (48). In all likelihood, he will clearly miss his stated election goal: to overtake the SP and become the second strongest party. If today’s election barometer and the election results agree, the SP and Freisinn are now more than four percentage points apart. Even worse from the perspective of the smart Aargauer: the FDP falls – just like in the last barometer – behind the center party and thus comes in fourth place. A debacle! The issue on election Sunday will likely not be a Green seat in the Federal Council, but rather the over-representation of the FDP.

The latest survey before the elections shows that the topic has changed. The gains of the SVP and SP indicate that they have hit sensitive points among the population with the core issues of migration (SVP) and purchasing power (SP). Ultimately, both issues are high on voters’ list of concerns. What is surprising, however, is that the eco-parties cannot in any way benefit from the issue of climate change, which is still second on this list.

Source:Blick