Second SRG poll on June 18 vote: yes to climate law crumbles

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If you had to take a picture of the vote on the climate protection law, it would look like this: the rock crumbles, but the top remains towering.

The picture can be derived from the second SRG trend study on templates of 18 June. Because when it comes to storming political summits, the proponents of the climate protection law are still ahead: 63 percent of eligible voters would currently accept the indirect counter-proposal to the glacier initiative. But the yes to the climate protection law is crumbling, because it was 9 percent less than a month ago.

In contrast, the no camp was able to increase by 11 to 36 percent. Only 1 percent are unsure. This is evident from the results of the second survey conducted by GFS Bern on behalf of SRG.

Only SVP says no

The support is especially massive on the left of the centre: the Greens agree with 99 percent, the GLP with 96 percent, the SP with 95 percent. Such unity within the parties is rare. The base of the center (76 percent) and the FDP (60 percent) also say yes. However, the no camp has increased on both sides.

Only the SVP rejects the law. Here the resistance has again increased significantly – from 63 to 75 percent no. Not surprising given that the party won the referendum. She warns, among other things, that electricity prices could rise. The argument is especially effective for lower incomes, the majority of whom now want to reject the law.

Opponents have no trick with the Covid 19 law

The starting point for the Covid-19 law is stable, which will be extended with some adjustments until mid-2024. Also in the second poll, the other party has no trick: only every third party is against the proposal. The Yes side can maintain the clear lead by two thirds. SP Health Minister Alain Berset (51) should soon win his third Corona victory.

The big parties say yes with clear majorities – from 76 percent for the FDP to 91 percent for the SP. Only the SVP base is reluctant and rejects the law with 69 percent no to 30 percent yes.

OECD minimum tax on the right track

The Federal Council and Parliament can hope for a clear victory in the OECD minimum tax. 73 percent want to accept the template at this point. Only 24 percent are against and 3 percent are unsure. The yes camp has lost more than 10 percent from the first poll and the no camp has doubled its share.

But the no trend is unlikely to be enough to overturn the proposal at the ballot box. Unions and SP have lost with their no to the “Lex Zug”.

The problem of the SP: he does not even properly convey his arguments to his own base. Only a third of the SP supporters want to follow the party slogan and vote no. Even though there are slightly more than in the first survey, 63 percent of SP sympathizers want to vote yes.

The approval is only smaller in the SVP with still 61 percent. Skepticism from the SVP base has grown, though former finance minister Ueli Maurer (72) set the template.

Between May 23 and 31, GFS Bern polled 12,655 eligible voters for the second SRG survey. The statistical error range is +/-2.8 percentage points.

Source:Blick