December doesn’t change anything: 2023 will be the hottest year since measurements began

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This year will be the hottest year globally since records began in the mid-19th century, according to EU climate change service Copernicus. The organization announced Wednesday that it’s nearly impossible for December to change anything. The hottest year so far was 2016.

It was previously suggested that 2023 would break a record in terms of global average temperatures. In mid-November, the US climate agency NOAA said there was a more than 99 percent chance that the year would be the warmest since 1850. However, none of the relevant institutions have made a full decision yet.

Exceptional global November temperatures

Samantha Burgess, deputy director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), pointed out in her statement that 2023 broke temperature records for several months, including November. “Extraordinary global temperatures in November, including two days that rose two degrees above pre-industrial temperatures, mean 2023 will be the warmest year on record.”

When asked, a Copernicus spokesperson explained that for 2023 to not be the hottest year, global average December temperatures would have to be extremely cold. However, such low temperatures can be ignored because the natural climate phenomenon El Niño continues to operate with a warming effect. “Therefore, we can now say with great certainty that 2023 will be the warmest year since records began,” the spokesman said.

“The temperature will continue to rise”

As Copernicus explained, global average temperatures up to and including November were 1.46 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial reference period of 1850-1900. So far, 2023 is 0.13 degrees warmer than the first eleven months of 2016, the previous record holder.

“As long as greenhouse gas concentrations continue to increase, we cannot expect any other outcome than those observed this year,” said C3S director Carlo Buontempo. “Temperatures will continue to rise, and with it the effects of heat waves and droughts.”

Just Tuesday, the Global Carbon Budget report showed that global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels such as coal, crude oil and natural gas continue to rise. It is expected to reach its peak in 2023 with 36.8 billion tons annually. This is 1.1 percent more than in 2022 and 1.4 percent more than in 2019, before Corona. (SDA)

Source : Blick